0xB8459ED52EF8382c132db235f69C57Fc8e76f10a-1779194122176
0xb8459ed52ef8382c132db235f69c57fc8e76f10a
- Realised P&L
- $-14.77
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $40.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.315 | $31.06 | −$3.94 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.201 | $9.53 | −$0.21 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.99 |
| Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"? · No | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs · Nemiga | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
| Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) · Detroit Tigers | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.47at 0.437Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$8.98at 0.100US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
- +$5.45at 0.477Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik
- +$4.63at 0.397Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
- +$2.54at 0.286Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:11 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.34 | $48.57 |
| 09-15 23:50 | Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 23:45 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2049999962 | $9.74 |
| 09-15 23:41 | Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3529411731 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 23:40 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $50.00 |
| 05-31 16:13 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.5397838779 | $19.00 |
| 05-30 18:28 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.4299999731 | $8.00 |
| 05-30 18:27 | Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.007 | $3.00 |
| 05-30 18:27 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.011 | $2.75 |
| 05-30 18:26 | Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.414 | $3.23 |
| 05-30 13:50 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.3899999957 | $27.99 |
| 05-27 11:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 11:14 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 05-26 20:43 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.4099999446 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 17:23 | Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0069999977 | $3.00 |