0xb84206e3cd0b50a5af86317439f85155362ffd5c
0xb84206e3cd0b50a5af86317439f85155362ffd5c
- Realised P&L
- $-4.75
- Volume
- $146.84
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $2.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.655 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.595 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · No | 0.210 | 0.125 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.055 | $0.14 | −$0.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.75at 0.216Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.61at 0.388Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.42at 0.420S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$1.36at 0.430SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$1.36at 0.430Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:43 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:21 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:47 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:53 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:03 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:04 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 1? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:32 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 22:26 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:14 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:57 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 21:55 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:54 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in September? | BUY | 0.3179999078 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:18 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $198 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:13 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:10 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |