PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xB81671b00D8Da96f957901892C09837F1361056f-1773141450005

0xb81671b00d8da96f957901892c09837f1361056f

Realised P&L
$-5.93
Volume
$682.40
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$35.62

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration87.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4200.445$21.19+$1.19
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A? · Yes0.5110.240$12.56$14.17
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · Yes0.2700.051$1.87$8.13
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1360.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET · Up0.6230.000$0.00$0.86
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00$10.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET · Down0.4310.000$0.00$1.33
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1350.000$0.00$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Down0.2680.000$0.00$26.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Down0.6140.000$0.00$0.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-16 10:39No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?BUY0.0349999669$1.00
04-07 13:52Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4199999933$20.00
04-07 13:52Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?BUY0.4699999932$24.21
04-07 13:49Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0919999918$10.00
04-07 13:49Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1359999897$10.00
04-07 13:49Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.16$10.00
03-27 01:01Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETBUY0.719999856$0.98
03-27 00:59Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETBUY0.32$0.98
03-25 13:18No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?BUY0.189999988$10.00
03-22 02:46Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.7$0.98
03-17 14:30Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.74$0.98
03-14 12:49Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
03-13 16:25Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETSELL0.99$2.07
03-13 16:22Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.4699998778$0.97
03-10 12:03Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?BUY0.2699999806$10.00