0xb81623a40D434C50DbFE4d126bE4833B6a793FF2-1764670960834
0xb81623a40d434c50dbfe4d126be4833b6a793ff2
- Realised P&L
- $33.27
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $24.32
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.91at 0.409Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
- +$7.12at 0.223Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$2.77at 0.419Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
- +$2.25at 0.070Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?
- +$2.10at 0.327Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:43 | Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 09:27 | Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 08:18 | Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1039999958 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 08:16 | Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1659999831 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 08:16 | Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:19 | Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1879999977 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 08:06 | Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $6.51 |
| 09-13 08:05 | Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.297370723 | $19.99 |
| 09-11 06:06 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.46 |
| 09-08 15:42 | Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.0055499867 | $0.63 |
| 09-07 13:02 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 13:00 | Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 12:59 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 11:33 | Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 10:22 | Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |