PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nianyuwo

0xb7ef39a048a0823cb3c2168304e018e29d85142d

Realised P&L
$2.72
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$12.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9990.999$11.09−$0.01
Michigan Senate favorite on November 2? · El-Sayed0.7400.930$1.89+$0.39
Hornets vs. Pacers · Hornets0.5300.000$0.00−$2.40
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 8? · No0.0440.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 2-8? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$1.60
Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo · Buffalo0.4900.000$0.00−$2.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 10:07Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$11.10
10-16 10:01Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?BUY0.7399998816$1.50
09-10 08:01US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9939999776$12.50
08-28 12:27Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.999$12.50
07-19 08:15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$12.50
06-07 09:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?BUY0.998$170.00
05-29 08:33Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?BUY0.999$170.00
05-26 01:56Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
05-26 01:56Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?BUY0.999$170.00
05-15 11:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?BUY0.9989999951$170.00
05-11 10:24US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?BUY0.9969999976$170.00
05-01 07:03Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?BUY0.999$170.00
04-24 08:43Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?BUY0.999$167.98
04-20 08:10Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?BUY0.999$170.76
04-15 03:12Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 15?BUY0.999$169.98