PolyBot

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Traders

alphanavy1

0xb7e74385729833767630b92f2f7eec3391fc11a3

Realised P&L
$50.38
Volume
$7.5k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$908.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.6970.775$166.90+$16.90
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.983$114.97+$4.97
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9500.960$111.10+$1.10
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? · No0.9300.985$105.91+$5.91
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9520.992$104.15+$4.15
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · No0.9580.994$103.75+$3.75
Will Venezuela become 51st state? · No0.9540.979$92.31+$2.31
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.8510.159$74.74−$325.26
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? · Yes0.1380.034$21.91−$68.03
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6400.105$12.57−$64.07
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · Yes0.4410.032$0.22−$2.78
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · No0.9200.000$0.00−$150.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 15:06Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.912$182.65
09-27 15:06Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$15.53
09-27 15:05Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.843$155.68
08-21 10:39US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.83$197.61
06-09 08:34U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?SELL0.9187352065$114.12
06-09 08:34Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$96.20
06-09 08:33US strike on Mexico by December 31?SELL0.9$126.92
05-21 09:22Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?SELL0.878424337$112.61
05-21 09:22Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4331392$135.36
05-21 09:21Maduro guilty of all counts?SELL0.8278999664$172.48
05-11 07:42Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.94$113.41
05-11 07:42Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.92$117.67
05-11 07:41Will Trump visit China by June 30?SELL0.996$145.75
04-06 09:53Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?BUY0.4411764706$3.00
04-06 09:49Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$100.00