PolyBot

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Traders

ExpectedValue098

0xb7e4856866162ec14f37a828cd5d00deb181b67b

Realised P&L
$-587.53
Volume
$168.6k
Markets traded
246
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded246
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 7? · No0.9680.911$546.59$34.20
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.9770.986$301.61+$2.63
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.5200.515$257.50$2.50
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · No0.6380.871$174.10+$46.50
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$3.85
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$9.00
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$3.85
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.3410.000$0.00$34.14
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$9.60
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67
Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets0.7300.000$0.00$49.59
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 08:44Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.9769019768$298.98
08-05 08:20Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.974$82.14
08-05 08:19Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.977$293.09
08-02 07:21Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.053$10.60
08-02 07:21Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.16$32.00
08-02 07:20Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.3495$69.90
08-02 03:40Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.8$80.00
08-02 02:59Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.943672619$317.07
08-01 06:20Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.979$195.80
07-31 05:06Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.9454545105$294.72
07-30 13:06Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.427$31.21
07-30 13:05Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.38849$38.85
07-30 13:04Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.9670588235$164.40
07-30 04:14Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.984952381$206.84
07-30 04:13Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.9409541284$205.13