Mispeer
0xb7cb5fbcbe1b9f1b64126d6cfc0bd69a0a7b83a5
- Realised P&L
- $-5.9k
- Volume
- $545.0k
- Markets traded
- 529
- Open portfolio
- $554.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded529
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.195 | $284.64 | +$7.30 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October? · Yes | 0.456 | 0.320 | $203.43 | −$86.57 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.375 | $66.53 | −$9.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.046Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?
- +$1.3kat 0.202Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?
- +$1.3kat 0.230Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?
- +$1.3kat 0.133Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?
- +$1.0kat 0.446Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 19:05 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4299999992 | $76.29 |
| 10-20 19:01 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 19 2026? | SELL | 0.1573827102 | $39.65 |
| 10-20 19:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | SELL | 0.06 | $42.42 |
| 10-19 09:01 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999991 | $95.74 |
| 10-19 00:32 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October? | BUY | 0.4174433897 | $90.00 |
| 10-18 22:46 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October? | BUY | 0.4760424213 | $200.00 |
| 10-18 20:21 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-18? | SELL | 0.9 | $39.12 |
| 10-18 19:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | BUY | 0.1414560542 | $100.00 |
| 10-18 19:47 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.4599999986 | $20.00 |
| 10-18 17:12 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | SELL | 0.9 | $489.57 |
| 10-18 16:22 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.539999999 | $136.36 |
| 10-18 13:59 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $20.00 |
| 10-18 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? | SELL | 0.3590635721 | $169.56 |
| 10-18 09:47 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.6099999987 | $177.79 |
| 10-18 09:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |