0xb7c7111971bea8b4b0f847653327510de3c7999c
0xb7c7111971bea8b4b0f847653327510de3c7999c
- Realised P&L
- $-125.66
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $51.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)11.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.426 | $30.56 | +$15.64 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.355 | $12.04 | −$2.88 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.175 | $4.84 | −$5.11 |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.045 | $3.58 | −$11.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.61at 0.180Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.80at 0.943Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$-0.04at 0.890Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-9.38at 0.025Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 10, 2026?
- +$-9.95at 0.018Will Hezbollah disarm by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 03:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9349999973 | $110.96 |
| 04-13 03:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 13? | BUY | 0.0539999975 | $17.19 |
| 04-12 21:52 | Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0086770772 | $14.92 |
| 04-12 21:43 | Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 04-12 21:38 | Will Trump say "Gulf of America" in April? | BUY | 0.0178780656 | $14.92 |
| 04-12 21:36 | Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April? | BUY | 0.0026826507 | $14.92 |
| 04-12 21:31 | Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.27 |
| 04-12 21:29 | Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0254513848 | $9.95 |
| 04-12 21:27 | Will Hezbollah disarm by April 30? | BUY | 0.0184439024 | $9.95 |
| 04-12 21:25 | Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0969152698 | $9.95 |
| 04-12 21:24 | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | BUY | 0.1099999907 | $9.95 |
| 04-12 21:21 | Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0840914758 | $9.95 |
| 04-12 21:19 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.187526451 | $14.92 |
| 04-12 21:18 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0099400532 | $14.92 |
| 04-12 21:17 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4399999953 | $14.92 |