greylabel
0xb7a987ec49a9dd6e2996721f6e02f20990e8715d
- Realised P&L
- $-5.76
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $950.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.57at 0.370Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?
- +$13.10at 0.220Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$8.64at 0.184Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
- +$7.47at 0.321Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$2.70at 0.587Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 14:14 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 10-19 10:38 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.47 |
| 10-19 10:37 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.787999917 | $3.00 |
| 10-19 10:37 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 10:36 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 10:35 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $3.00 |
| 10-19 10:34 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999406 | $3.50 |
| 10-19 10:34 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 10:33 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9309999711 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 10:32 | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 10-19 10:14 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 10-19 10:13 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-19 10:13 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $4.81 |
| 10-19 10:12 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $4.82 |
| 10-19 10:02 | Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.034 | $1.02 |