yodc
0xb7559dc3342dc7e3f7214519ea761821fdfda7c2
- Realised P&L
- $-51.74
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $77.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.920 | 0.925 | $49.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.170 | $17.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.709 | 0.436 | $6.16 | −$3.84 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.165 | $3.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.021 | $2.15 | −$17.85 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? · $60k | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.21at 0.691Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
- +$10.30at 0.660Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$4.55at 0.065Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$-8.68at 0.103Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-10.00at 0.490Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 09:10 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9199999925 | $49.00 |
| 07-03 15:32 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.061 | $12.20 |
| 05-25 13:21 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 05-07 13:50 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 04-16 08:49 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.708787356 | $10.00 |
| 04-11 13:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.87 | $17.07 |
| 04-09 06:10 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0745945617 | $35.55 |
| 04-06 14:02 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 04-06 09:21 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $20.00 |
| 04-05 22:28 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 04-05 22:18 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 04-05 22:03 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 04-05 21:57 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.065999939 | $1.00 |
| 04-05 21:57 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0650092226 | $30.00 |