0xB72EACEf9106BEA72F0436e895b0A845380A49E4-1730889871123
0xb72eacef9106bea72f0436e895b0a845380a49e4
- Realised P&L
- $-294.00
- Volume
- $23.5k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$314.56at 0.746Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$236.37at 0.606Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
- +$234.00at 0.220US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$174.29at 0.556Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 6PM ET
- +$126.16at 0.369Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 00:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 05-29 03:30 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $70.37 |
| 05-29 03:26 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.302 | $60.40 |
| 05-29 03:21 | Another RFK Jr animal rescue by June 30? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 05-29 03:20 | GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $32.50 |
| 05-29 03:17 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $72.00 |
| 05-29 03:17 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $227.00 |
| 03-06 20:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $48.44 |
| 03-06 20:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $48.44 |
| 03-06 20:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $48.44 |
| 03-06 20:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $48.44 |
| 03-06 20:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $47.47 |
| 03-06 20:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $38.85 |
| 03-02 16:23 | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 03-02 04:44 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $886.50 |