sinnerj
0xb6edbbab96bd8bccc74a4cd60d33be036aca1ae4
- Realised P&L
- $-984.39
- Volume
- $61.6k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? · Yes | 0.867 | 0.982 | $1.0k | +$118.06 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.415 | $608.75 | +$36.67 |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.968 | $522.76 | +$160.55 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.325 | $446.92 | −$213.40 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.398 | 0.105 | $160.77 | −$449.17 |
| Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.70 |
| Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes | 0.242 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$620.00 |
| Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli · Pablo Carreno Busta | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.75 |
| Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$116.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$494.65at 0.327Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
- +$467.06at 0.559Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$407.78at 0.577Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
- +$320.76at 0.518Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
- +$317.83at 0.610Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 11:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $522.55 |
| 07-29 15:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.7302764548 | $633.87 |
| 07-17 16:59 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? | SELL | 0.125 | $9.51 |
| 07-16 11:55 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? | SELL | 0.124 | $14.88 |
| 07-16 11:54 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $407.01 |
| 07-15 22:45 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $89.31 |
| 07-15 14:03 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 07-15 11:33 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? | SELL | 0.135 | $3.65 |
| 07-15 11:28 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.35 | $29.75 |
| 07-15 00:08 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? | SELL | 0.138 | $20.70 |
| 07-15 00:05 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? | SELL | 0.141 | $2.26 |
| 07-14 21:48 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 07-14 21:46 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? | SELL | 0.135 | $5.20 |
| 07-14 13:16 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? | BUY | 0.82 | $47.93 |
| 07-14 13:15 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3075 | $326.84 |