nvm
0xb6dc6730ad141e0d133a836fc3ae39c5b31ae37a
- Realised P&L
- $-84.98
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $14.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.00at 0.500Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$45.36at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
- +$42.18at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$34.05at 0.511Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
- +$33.06at 0.525Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 13:46 | Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $13.65 |
| 01-29 16:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0538494 | $26.89 |
| 01-23 08:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $11.39 |
| 01-22 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $11.63 |
| 01-22 14:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $11.87 |
| 01-22 10:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $0.75 |
| 01-20 16:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $44.58 |
| 01-20 16:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $11.63 |
| 01-20 14:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $11.15 |
| 01-20 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $11.39 |
| 01-20 13:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $4.75 |
| 01-19 08:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $89.16 |
| 01-19 08:55 | Will NSC be part of the next Government of the Netherlands? | SELL | 0.984 | $98.40 |
| 11-26 09:39 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.989 | $98.90 |
| 10-31 14:16 | Will NSC be part of the next Government of the Netherlands? | BUY | 0.989 | $49.45 |