0xB6756421bd99A7cd51e1c205766d7E51D93d3D65-1756688450800
0xb6756421bd99a7cd51e1c205766d7e51d93d3d65
- Realised P&L
- $7.2k
- Volume
- $696.0k
- Markets traded
- 275
- Open portfolio
- $218.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded275
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.247Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
- +$3.0kat 0.097U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$2.2kat 0.887Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
- +$1.8kat 0.859100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
- +$1.8kat 0.531US government shutdown Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 22:56 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9989527988 | $4.1k |
| 08-01 19:43 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0126501847 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 17:33 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4999333422 | $750.00 |
| 08-01 17:31 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4475428107 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 17:29 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4125294051 | $1.1k |
| 08-01 17:16 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4269195508 | $700.00 |
| 08-01 17:09 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8044901971 | $250.00 |
| 08-01 17:05 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7952297795 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 17:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999969 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 17:02 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7949999962 | $25.00 |
| 08-01 17:02 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.357044993 | $350.00 |
| 08-01 17:01 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7908218412 | $2.0k |
| 07-31 21:33 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 21:30 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31? | SELL | 0.0235418049 | $2.84 |
| 07-31 19:32 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.9930696132 | $3.2k |