Henry.0
0xb635ed37f1c0d796fa5de97aecdd67a9d975f0fd
- Realised P&L
- $-5.8k
- Volume
- $482.7k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $158.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.255 | $94.85 | +$31.24 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.195 | $59.09 | −$40.91 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.066 | $4.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.231 | 0.065 | $0.09 | −$0.23 |
| Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? · No | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.80 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.486 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$382.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.601Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.9kat 0.770Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$2.6kat 0.315Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
- +$1.8kat 0.532Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
- +$1.7kat 0.702Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:35 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonova | SELL | 0.999 | $63.96 |
| 09-17 03:24 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonova | BUY | 0.7809999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 18:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.0k |
| 09-16 12:29 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.63 | $100.80 |
| 09-16 12:07 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.40 |
| 09-16 12:07 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.17 | $8.50 |
| 09-16 04:22 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.5 | $122.68 |
| 09-16 03:43 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0659999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 21:01 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 20:32 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 09-14 22:37 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.16 | $30.72 |
| 09-14 14:22 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.4075546714 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 11:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999996 | $44.59 |
| 09-13 11:12 | Rennes: Karl Poling vs Nikola Slavic | SELL | 0.13 | $46.27 |
| 09-13 10:12 | Rennes: Karl Poling vs Nikola Slavic | BUY | 0.5699999995 | $202.87 |