hctdrtduj
0xb5dfb6385c5331c7f400a49cba7d3d34f4038bf2
- Realised P&L
- $-172.02
- Volume
- $24.1k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $25.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.972 | $22.33 | +$2.33 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.974 | $2.28 | +$0.24 |
| Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.031 | $0.68 | −$14.32 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.025 | $0.28 | −$3.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.18at 0.240Senators vs. Oilers
- +$20.12at 0.420Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
- +$18.67at 0.452Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$15.86at 0.492Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- +$13.41at 0.574Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 12:37 | Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)? | BUY | 0.9319999963 | $4.00 |
| 08-12 22:16 | Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmic | BUY | 0.4199999922 | $15.00 |
| 08-12 21:40 | Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.45 | $2.41 |
| 08-12 21:39 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5 | SELL | 0.1836670334 | $5.01 |
| 08-12 17:42 | Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4599999181 | $2.47 |
| 08-12 17:08 | Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz | BUY | 0.5 | $5.83 |
| 08-12 16:05 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.549999989 | $15.00 |
| 08-12 01:16 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks | BUY | 0.48 | $15.00 |
| 08-11 08:53 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11? | BUY | 0.5999999797 | $5.90 |
| 08-11 06:59 | Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-08-11? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 08-11 02:18 | New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.989999994 | $4.94 |
| 08-11 01:40 | Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.5099999992 | $6.57 |
| 08-10 21:19 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.5599999895 | $15.00 |
| 08-09 18:51 | Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 08-09 18:10 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.4399999847 | $15.00 |