dima77
0xb5ca7657110d086ffef0b207f2b959f2f9e5a286
- Realised P&L
- $-585.34
- Volume
- $52.2k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $22.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.312 | 0.045 | $22.05 | −$130.95 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.309 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.27 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$186.46at 0.770Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$94.90at 0.705Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$85.73at 0.536MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
- +$57.56at 0.230Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$51.73at 0.201Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 16:44 | 1win FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3053846154 | $39.70 |
| 10-30 16:58 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 07-19 22:27 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9975 | $23.56 |
| 07-19 19:37 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5924999651 | $14.00 |
| 06-14 19:34 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.309 | $9.27 |
| 06-14 19:33 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.029 | $9.96 |
| 05-31 21:18 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1159999802 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 19:36 | Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $2.55 |
| 05-10 21:29 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11? | SELL | 0.7046133333 | $10.57 |
| 05-08 19:17 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0232874032 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 19:05 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 04-25 20:48 | Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.38 |
| 04-25 20:47 | Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.041 | $2.96 |
| 04-25 20:47 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.701 | $10.51 |
| 04-20 16:26 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |