maximalistas
0xb5c1c9ef8863734087b3b617d69b4fda461bc3a7
- Realised P&L
- $71.62
- Volume
- $18.8k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $366.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.50at 0.650Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?
- +$66.00at 0.450Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$18.19at 0.647Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$15.46at 0.500Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$8.84at 0.802Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 10:24 | Will Washington Commanders win the 2026 NFC East? | BUY | 0.86 | $25.80 |
| 09-01 14:35 | MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.76 | $38.00 |
| 09-01 14:18 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 09-01 14:12 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $11.33 |
| 08-21 08:25 | Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.87 | $34.80 |
| 08-17 09:14 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.58 | $127.60 |
| 08-15 06:36 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.39 | $31.59 |
| 08-15 06:32 | Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 08-11 07:45 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.143 | $14.73 |
| 08-04 09:36 | Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.83 |
| 08-02 15:03 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 07-23 08:48 | Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.89 |
| 07-23 08:43 | Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $8.33 |
| 07-12 09:27 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.221 | $33.70 |
| 07-12 09:23 | Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B? | BUY | 0.67 | $35.51 |