PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

maximalistas

0xb5c1c9ef8863734087b3b617d69b4fda461bc3a7

Realised P&L
$125.25
Volume
$17.5k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$451.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.595$101.15+$16.15
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.405$68.85$16.15
Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.4900.495$50.34+$0.51
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B? · No0.6700.840$44.52+$9.01
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.930$39.06+$6.72
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.4800.590$35.40+$6.60
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8100.285$26.78$49.36
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B? · No0.8800.925$18.50+$0.90
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9470.945$17.15$0.03
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.3800.255$14.03$6.87
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? · No0.8400.935$8.98+$0.91
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.5540.675$7.76+$1.39
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · No0.6100.680$6.80+$0.70
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.120$6.00$10.50
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.4800.735$5.95+$2.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 09:36Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.49$49.83
08-02 15:03Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.61$6.10
07-23 08:48Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.48$3.89
07-23 08:43Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.75$8.33
07-12 09:27Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.221$33.70
07-12 09:23Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B?BUY0.67$35.51
07-05 08:49England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?SELL0.8$79.99
07-05 07:32England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?SELL0.787$3.71
06-29 11:19Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.79$79.00
06-29 11:17Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.77$32.34
06-29 11:03Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?SELL0.3051276316$23.19
06-19 06:45Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.189$9.64
06-19 06:41Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?BUY0.52$39.52
06-19 06:32Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.46$5.11
06-19 06:21Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.89$97.90