Bocas
0xb5a127793082414f94631fa504813d5fe21ec09d
- Realised P&L
- $-266.86
- Volume
- $44.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,156
- Open portfolio
- $41.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,156
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$351.20at 0.071U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
- +$27.21at 0.133Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be 2.6%?
- +$20.22at 0.090Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?
- +$17.34at 0.320U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
- +$14.65at 0.350U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 15:57 | Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.053 | $2.38 |
| 08-25 15:53 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.5249999764 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 02:09 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.2659999036 | $1.70 |
| 08-03 16:02 | Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.0592105162 | $5.25 |
| 07-21 02:12 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31? | BUY | 0.0529999513 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 20:18 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31? | BUY | 0.1399999948 | $20.07 |
| 07-17 20:17 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 07-17 20:17 | Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? | SELL | 0.283 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 20:17 | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.24 |
| 07-17 20:17 | Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.28 |
| 07-17 20:17 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 07-17 20:02 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31? | BUY | 0.075585982 | $101.08 |
| 07-17 19:32 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.08 |
| 07-16 22:32 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.69 |
| 07-16 18:58 | Will Trump say "Interfere" or "Interference" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.8899994126 | $1.00 |