PolyBot

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Traders

0xb554fc66979e4d14a117945aaec49d084c9ad502

0xb554fc66979e4d14a117945aaec49d084c9ad502

Realised P&L
$-33.20
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
257
Open portfolio
$25.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded257
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Yoon out of custody before 2027? · No0.8840.972$2.42+$0.22
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9040.981$2.39+$0.19
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · No0.8100.950$1.29+$0.19
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · No0.8300.955$1.26+$0.16
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8700.955$1.21+$0.11
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? · Yes0.8400.895$1.17+$0.07
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · No0.8900.945$1.17+$0.07
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No0.9090.961$1.16+$0.06
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0480.051$1.16+$0.06
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.958$1.16+$0.06
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.940$1.15+$0.05
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No0.9410.963$1.13+$0.03
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.930$1.12+$0.02
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.9200.955$1.12+$0.04
Viktor Orbán arrested by...? · No0.8700.874$1.10+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 02:46UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)SELL0.11$0.03
07-12 02:46UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)SELL0.11$0.13
07-12 02:46UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)SELL0.11$0.01
07-12 02:31UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.6999998727$1.10
07-12 00:33UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)SELL0.55$1.10
07-12 00:30UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.55$1.10
07-12 00:13UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)SELL0.99$1.11
07-12 00:08UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.8909997521$1.10
07-12 00:03Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.53$0.07
07-11 22:40Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4124998828$1.10
07-11 22:09Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?SELL0.92$0.36
07-11 16:45UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.4499998568$1.10
07-11 16:43Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?SELL0.88$0.32
07-11 16:38Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.921$0.48
07-11 16:13Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?SELL0.87$0.06