Adis26
0xb5342c712c2c3ff55cf6aead5dd18b7df3e62868
- Realised P&L
- $-63.23
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $5.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.53at 0.052Trump kiss by May 31?
- +$17.63at 0.072Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$10.99at 0.052Will Trump say "Cat" in May?
- +$6.31at 0.705Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.46at 0.203OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 22:05 | Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 09-20 22:03 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 21:43 | Will Harry Kane win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 21:30 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.95 |
| 07-01 21:49 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.8219999936 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 21:45 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.9 | $20.00 |
| 06-23 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 23? | SELL | 0.0013101313 | $0.23 |
| 06-23 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.47 |
| 06-22 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 06-22 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23? | BUY | 0.0600166667 | $1.26 |
| 06-22 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.32 |
| 06-22 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.50 |
| 06-21 02:19 | Will Charles De Ketelaere score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.29 |
| 06-20 22:32 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.297029688 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 22:22 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |