PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Adis26

0xb5342c712c2c3ff55cf6aead5dd18b7df3e62868

Realised P&L
$-63.23
Volume
$8.9k
Markets traded
102
Open portfolio
$5.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded102
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8900.935$4.67+$0.23
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.035$0.35−$1.65
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.8220.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump say "Chair" this week? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Northern Ireland? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Trump say "Traitor" this week? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "Bird" in May? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$2.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "FBI" on Thursday? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? · Yes0.9510.000$0.00−$30.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 23? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$3.20
Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00−$1.48
Will Real Madrid win the 2025-26 Euroleague? · Yes0.2210.000$0.00−$5.63
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$6.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 22:05Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?BUY0.89$4.45
09-20 22:03Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
07-15 21:43Will Harry Kane win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.96$1.00
07-09 21:30Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.002$0.95
07-01 21:49Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.8219999936$10.00
06-30 21:45Will France win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.9$20.00
06-23 06:00Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 23?SELL0.0013101313$0.23
06-23 06:00Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?SELL0.011$0.47
06-22 12:05Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?BUY0.09$1.08
06-22 11:56Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?BUY0.0600166667$1.26
06-22 11:56Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 23?BUY0.02$1.32
06-22 11:55Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?BUY0.25$1.50
06-21 02:19Will Charles De Ketelaere score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.4$1.29
06-20 22:32Starmer out by June 22, 2026?BUY0.297029688$10.00
06-20 22:22Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0599999946$10.00