polzpockz
0xb52d2b07f26021a3fe10b7fdffafc838ed55f61f
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $437.8k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $714.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.125 | 0.051 | $303.00 | −$446.95 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $189.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.232 | 0.183 | $183.50 | −$48.50 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? · No | 0.952 | 0.979 | $39.28 | +$1.06 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$885.06 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.268 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$822.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.7kat 0.146Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
- +$11.0kat 0.151Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.2kat 0.301Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
- +$442.70at 0.759Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$364.14at 0.007Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 22:41 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.319 | $9.57 |
| 10-25 20:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.65 | $201.50 |
| 10-25 14:55 | Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.0448518993 | $448.52 |
| 10-04 23:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 10-04 23:45 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $238.93 |
| 10-04 23:44 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $264.00 |
| 10-04 22:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.02 |
| 10-04 22:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 10-01 00:45 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.39 | $389.96 |
| 10-01 00:43 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.0161680792 | $202.10 |
| 09-25 14:18 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.9013333333 | $81.12 |
| 08-25 03:58 | Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.007 | $56.85 |
| 08-25 01:27 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 08-17 21:04 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.13 | $650.00 |
| 07-10 21:58 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.016 | $240.00 |