PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fender

0xb52bfe77fa1b70d8547a63572c70224e975dc40c

Realised P&L
$-6.13
Volume
$5.4k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$321.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.976$195.10+$95.10
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? · No0.9790.988$100.87+$0.87
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 8? · No0.9910.994$20.06+$0.06
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.025$4.90−$95.10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.125$0.35−$0.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 13:01Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 8?BUY0.9909999998$20.00
09-28 18:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2PM ETBUY0.99$10.00
07-20 17:09Dogecoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.9199999816$2.00
07-19 08:11Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?BUY0.979$100.00
07-19 08:11Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
07-19 08:10Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.424999983$5.00
02-26 18:12LoL: Verdant vs Bulldog Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular SeasonBUY0.7899999289$2.00
02-26 18:10Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?SELL0.999$887.99
02-24 11:12Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.999$888.00
02-24 11:12Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.9919999959$50.00
02-24 11:11Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9959999942$100.00
02-24 11:10Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.8099998736$5.00
10-27 14:02Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?BUY0.996$4.44
06-22 13:23Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?BUY0.9849999989$4.37
03-12 15:54Will Gustavo Jalkh win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?BUY0.999$4.37