namemean
0xb522f300cd3353a3762f7f4e963f8fcaa88ec04d
- Realised P&L
- $334.31
- Volume
- $57.0k
- Markets traded
- 233
- Open portfolio
- $922.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded233
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.20at 0.541Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- +$45.57at 0.562Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$10.94at 0.800Aster all time high by December 31?
- +$8.74at 0.951Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?
- +$8.48at 0.951Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 12:10 | Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by October 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $19.74 |
| 10-04 12:08 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9848943089 | $48.46 |
| 10-04 12:07 | Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | BUY | 0.9383108521 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 12:06 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9699999996 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 11:51 | Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $6.77 |
| 10-04 11:28 | Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol by October 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $26.86 |
| 10-04 11:28 | Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi by October 31? | BUY | 0.983 | $39.32 |
| 10-04 11:27 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $59.40 |
| 10-04 11:20 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BUY | 0.985 | $49.25 |
| 10-04 11:17 | XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.939 | $5.26 |
| 10-04 11:17 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 10-03 03:30 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BUY | 0.982 | $49.10 |
| 09-28 01:33 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $249.74 |
| 09-28 01:25 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 09-28 01:25 | Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $87.32 |