a5a5d
0xb51c357c8648c51440aaf63331058090ef37502d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $171.2k
- Markets traded
- 345
- Open portfolio
- $16.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded345
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$694.25at 0.750Cardinals vs. Bengals
- +$572.06at 0.520Rays vs. Angels
- +$194.90at 0.250Will Utah beat Arizona?
- +$171.60at 0.142Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$119.97at 0.840Will Southampton beat Bournemouth?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 16:57 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in July? | SELL | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 06-19 03:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 05-26 12:11 | Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 04-23 12:08 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.565 | $27.02 |
| 04-23 12:08 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.565 | $27.02 |
| 04-12 16:29 | Will Tisza win at least 130 seats? | BUY | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 04-09 06:47 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 04-09 06:46 | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.057 | $12.02 |
| 04-09 06:46 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.118648 | $11.86 |
| 04-09 06:44 | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | SELL | 0.913596066 | $137.94 |
| 04-09 04:49 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 04-09 04:48 | Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.175 | $3.50 |
| 04-02 15:52 | US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.04822 | $4.82 |
| 04-02 15:49 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | SELL | 0.65 | $32.50 |
| 04-02 15:49 | Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $70.22 |