PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

a5a5d

0xb51c357c8648c51440aaf63331058090ef37502d

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$171.2k
Markets traded
345
Open portfolio
$16.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded345
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 16:57Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in July?SELL0.72$14.40
06-19 03:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.72$36.00
05-26 12:11Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.19$9.50
04-23 12:08Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?BUY0.565$27.02
04-23 12:08Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?BUY0.565$27.02
04-12 16:29Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?BUY0.61$30.50
04-09 06:47Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?SELL0.06$6.00
04-09 06:46Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.057$12.02
04-09 06:46Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?SELL0.118648$11.86
04-09 06:44US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?SELL0.913596066$137.94
04-09 04:49Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.55$27.50
04-09 04:48Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.175$3.50
04-02 15:52US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?SELL0.04822$4.82
04-02 15:49Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?SELL0.65$32.50
04-02 15:49Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?SELL0.74$70.22