ploymake
0xb513b7e5fbfe3f285fec7442a69135ec26e539c6
- Realised P&L
- $-0.97
- Volume
- $169.57
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $21.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.941 | 0.941 | $19.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.050 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes | 0.509 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.20 |
| Will Joe S. San Agustin win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.10at 0.510Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 00:57 | Will Joe S. San Agustin win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.0099250658 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 00:56 | Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.5095660122 | $4.20 |
| 07-01 00:56 | Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 00:51 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 23:56 | Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.941198096 | $15.00 |
| 06-30 23:55 | Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0400446611 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 23:54 | Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9409999942 | $5.00 |