PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb50d8f019e36e0c4d1c76cd70744f898e037e579

Realised P&L
$-7.72
Volume
$183.64
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$4.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Vinted be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes0.2700.625$2.31+$1.31
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes0.6000.720$1.20+$0.20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.7500.725$0.97$0.03
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.085$0.32$1.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:46Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-17 10:44S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 17?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-17 02:23Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
09-16 18:23Will Vinted be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-16 10:19Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.7$1.00
09-16 02:19Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-11 01:32Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-09 17:09Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
09-09 09:08Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-08 22:03Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-08 12:49Will Chewy say "Automation" during earnings call?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-08 01:20Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
09-07 16:35Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
09-07 08:22Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.55$1.00
09-03 23:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.3499998775$1.00