masximusjulius
0xb50afec7b63314f908106ecb578c1d98258aa2b8
- Realised P&L
- $10.21
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $179.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? · No | 0.940 | 0.937 | $53.99 | −$0.17 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.963 | 0.950 | $53.06 | −$0.73 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.948 | 0.936 | $50.57 | −$0.62 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.961 | 0.978 | $22.32 | +$0.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.66at 0.968Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?
- +$1.65at 0.961Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
- +$0.92at 0.970Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
- +$0.69at 0.954Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
- +$0.62at 0.977Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 07:37 | Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9912588889 | $21.69 |