masximusjulius
0xb50afec7b63314f908106ecb578c1d98258aa2b8
- Realised P&L
- $6.77
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $205.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? · No | 0.938 | 0.928 | $52.89 | −$0.57 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.935 | $51.42 | −$0.27 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No | 0.954 | 0.966 | $51.17 | +$0.61 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.948 | 0.919 | $49.63 | −$1.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.66at 0.968Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?
- +$1.65at 0.961Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
- +$0.92at 0.970Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
- +$0.62at 0.977Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?
- +$0.51at 0.950Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 07:37 | Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9912588889 | $21.69 |