0xb502C2F7A7E6408755bf331D271A5fAD095330b9-1781246252927
0xb502c2f7a7e6408755bf331d271a5fad095330b9
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $61.6k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$537.39at 0.146Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$536.80at 0.230US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$253.73at 0.646Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
- +$107.27at 0.276Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
- +$92.50at 0.080Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 09:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 09:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.1499999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 09:11 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999966 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 09:10 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on September 25? | BUY | 0.3043392884 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 18:20 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31? | BUY | 0.3462780398 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 18:20 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.2299999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 18:19 | Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 18:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 18:12 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3839999995 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 18:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6493933997 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 18:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 18:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1440238733 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 15:54 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2596676203 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 15:53 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2340718945 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 15:53 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2248803732 | $100.00 |