PolyBot

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Traders

endlesssss

0xb4fc3b8dfa7e5966df6d7ed8932e87eb46aaa926

Realised P&L
$-65.6k
Volume
$8.23M
Markets traded
933
Open portfolio
$16.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded933
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8470.855$6.3k+$60.72
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.9710.973$4.9k+$10.00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.0000.825$2.2k+$2.2k
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.6920.775$1.9k+$198.78
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.3720.428$539.09+$70.54
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 29? · Yes0.2800.124$248.00−$311.29
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? · Yes0.1850.080$238.50−$315.58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.0350.021$63.00−$41.84
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner · BNK FearX Youth0.0900.000$0.00−$9.00
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner · Invictus Gaming0.5240.000$0.00−$1.3k
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B · Bilibili Gaming Junior0.2000.000$0.00−$200.00
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B · CTBC Flying Oyster Academy0.2200.000$0.00−$220.00
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? · No0.1000.000$0.00−$500.00
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$4.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 15:58Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 29?BUY0.279855$279.86
09-29 15:58Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 29?BUY0.27944$279.44
09-29 15:56Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 29?SELL0.00549355$16.48
09-29 11:53Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 29?BUY0.189$567.00
09-29 01:31Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?BUY0.184694$554.08
09-29 01:29US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.0344891815$10.06
09-28 23:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.971$207.39
09-28 11:51LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions - Game 3 WinnerSELL0.5210718794$264.16
09-28 11:48LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions - Game 3 WinnerSELL0.7578787879$125.05
09-28 11:36LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.4695662$1.4k
09-28 11:36LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions - Game 3 WinnerSELL0.5212$1.0k
09-28 11:32LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.58468055$1.2k
09-28 11:11LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.01$21.73
09-28 11:07LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.17$19.72
09-28 11:00LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.6232064$623.21