PolyBot

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Traders

0xB4F78a04C15478418d589e19C17870977b1589D6-1774185493145

0xb4f78a04c15478418d589e19c17870977b1589d6

Realised P&L
$-914.70
Volume
$16.5k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$428.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1080.045$268.64$379.08
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0750.015$59.27$228.22
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1080.055$56.28$54.72
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1720.055$37.40$79.30
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1480.027$7.28$32.71
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$9.90
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00$42.70
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$33.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$21.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 18:54Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999966$27.00
07-07 18:00Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0820000003$20.00
07-07 17:59Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$30.00
06-30 21:33Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.1534738281$23.99
06-30 21:33Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999956$25.00
06-30 21:30Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999953$24.00
06-30 21:30Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.1379133121$25.00
06-28 07:17Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$15.00
06-28 07:16Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.149999994$20.00
06-25 17:22Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$28.00
06-25 17:22Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0939999969$25.00
06-25 09:41Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999985$50.00
06-17 16:26Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1049999885$8.00
06-17 16:25Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.044$33.00
06-14 16:03Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999984$49.00