PolyBot

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Traders

obakobakk

0xb4d2b5c75b176f364beefe9dffb605c8b161fa62

Realised P&L
$15.8k
Volume
$1.48M
Markets traded
262
Open portfolio
$19.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded262
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6460.835$8.3k+$1.9k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.799$8.0k+$3.0k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.201$2.0k−$3.0k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5530.474$806.65−$133.89
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4100.425$212.61+$7.67
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8? · Yes0.1800.475$71.25+$44.25
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs · 100 Thieves0.2800.000$0.00−$28.00
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun · Xinran Sun0.0700.000$0.00−$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 10:02Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsBUY0.28$28.00
10-08 07:59US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.46869875$93.74
10-08 06:23Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8?BUY0.18$27.00
10-06 16:17US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.504$151.20
10-05 05:05China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran SunBUY0.07$7.00
10-02 13:04US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.538$107.60
09-24 02:39Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.34$34.00
09-24 02:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.34$2.0k
09-24 02:37US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6147270021$2.2k
09-22 10:12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.48$9.60
09-22 10:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.48$1.9k
09-22 10:07US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.64974798$649.75
09-17 15:39Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?BUY0.94$1.9k
09-16 18:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$11.9k
09-16 09:59Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 16?SELL0.999$9.99