PolyBot

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Traders

JaPierdoleBober

0xb4b2c182ca2916eebcb478442b1b17ccf67d23fd

Realised P&L
$2.3k
Volume
$90.3k
Markets traded
216
Open portfolio
$329.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded216
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6700.705$70.50+$3.50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9000.945$47.25+$2.25
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9100.935$46.75+$1.25
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9000.905$45.25+$0.25
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7400.745$37.25+$0.25
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.735$36.75+$1.75
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026? · Yes0.7000.715$35.75+$0.75
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9480.967$9.66+$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:53Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?SELL0.22$0.18
09-29 19:26Trump renames AI by September 30?SELL0.0267316$5.35
09-29 16:08Trump renames AI by September 30?SELL0.2650532602$16.42
09-26 08:13Trump renames AI by September 30?SELL0.81$40.44
08-22 21:25Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 22?BUY0.99$9.90
08-22 13:39Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 22?BUY0.97$9.70
08-22 13:38Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 22?BUY0.99$0.84
08-22 13:37Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 22?BUY0.96$32.61
08-17 08:18Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or below on August 17?BUY0.05$0.50
08-09 19:36Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 10?BUY0.998$19.34
08-09 19:36Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on August 10?BUY0.996$9.96
08-09 19:36Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 10?BUY0.99$10.66
07-31 16:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.7099994391$1.00
07-25 21:42Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 26?BUY0.992$5.95
07-25 11:42Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 25?BUY0.998$199.53