PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Podublin

0xb4a392ea9fa237083aa76f77e8c11b7959c0c352

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$429.1k
Markets traded
159
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded159
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 3%-6%? · No0.9200.912$140.39−$1.15
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No0.9530.977$102.52+$2.52
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat? · No0.9520.951$99.80−$0.16
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-28 House seat? · No0.9400.935$99.47−$0.53
Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat? · Yes0.9100.885$53.45−$1.51
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? · No0.8501.000$46.98+$7.03
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? · No0.8500.992$46.60+$6.65
Will UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between October 26-November 1? · No0.8700.999$44.93+$5.78
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1? · No0.8600.950$44.17+$4.18
Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8600.949$44.13+$4.14
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.8961.000$43.73+$4.53
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat? · No0.8500.890$41.83+$1.88
Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8700.920$41.40+$2.25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election? · No0.8500.865$40.66+$0.70
Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat? · No0.8500.860$40.42+$0.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 23:49Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on November 2?BUY0.88$39.82
10-30 19:52Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State election?BUY0.85$39.95
10-30 07:02Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election?BUY0.85$39.95
10-29 13:57Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of October 26 2026?BUY0.86$39.99
10-27 17:35Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of October 26 2026?BUY0.91$39.13
10-27 02:18Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?BUY0.86$39.99
10-27 02:18Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $315 Week of October 26 2026?BUY0.87$39.15
10-27 00:14Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 26 2026?BUY0.9$39.96
10-26 08:03Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.87$39.15
10-26 07:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of October 26 2026?BUY0.89$7.12
10-26 05:30Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?BUY0.85$39.95
10-26 01:56Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat?BUY0.85$39.95
10-26 00:25Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.862$25.86
10-25 04:08Will MOUZ Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?BUY0.88$39.82
10-25 04:08Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?BUY0.85$39.95