Podublin
0xb4a392ea9fa237083aa76f77e8c11b7959c0c352
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $429.1k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.20at 0.840Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
- +$69.39at 0.790Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$67.89at 0.780Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$53.78at 0.279Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
- +$37.20at 0.884Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 23:49 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on November 2? | BUY | 0.88 | $39.82 |
| 10-30 19:52 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State election? | BUY | 0.85 | $39.95 |
| 10-30 07:02 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election? | BUY | 0.85 | $39.95 |
| 10-29 13:57 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $39.99 |
| 10-27 17:35 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $39.13 |
| 10-27 02:18 | Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.86 | $39.99 |
| 10-27 02:18 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $315 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $39.15 |
| 10-27 00:14 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $39.96 |
| 10-26 08:03 | Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $39.15 |
| 10-26 07:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.12 |
| 10-26 05:30 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? | BUY | 0.85 | $39.95 |
| 10-26 01:56 | Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.85 | $39.95 |
| 10-26 00:25 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.862 | $25.86 |
| 10-25 04:08 | Will MOUZ Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $39.82 |
| 10-25 04:08 | Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.85 | $39.95 |