PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

100x

0xb48ef6deecd526c0974c35e1f7b5c3bbd12fa144

Realised P&L
$152.8k
Volume
$11.50M
Markets traded
171
Open portfolio
$35.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded171
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.8150.955$9.6k+$1.4k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8100.972$9.4k+$1.6k
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.8970.958$6.7k+$423.15
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.966$3.6k+$205.61
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · No0.6400.948$2.9k+$931.54
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · No0.6600.905$2.5k+$676.92
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2920.065$239.86$836.43
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.5100.095$147.87$645.80
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · No0.8100.957$114.78+$17.58
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$71.41
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$10.32
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$93.18
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$1.1k
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$688.06
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$110.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-02 21:38MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.991$272.5k
06-01 21:32MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.996$99.6k
05-29 02:46MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?SELL0.3883014538$4.6k
05-29 02:13MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?SELL0.339$100.37
05-29 02:12MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?SELL0.3509791878$640.33
05-29 02:10MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.125$263.85
05-06 14:56US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.3$600.00
05-06 14:54US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?SELL0.900423825$18.0k
05-06 00:24MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY0.67$335.00
05-05 23:42MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7676426139$105.96
05-01 19:15Chirayu Rana sued?BUY0.07$0.35
05-01 18:36Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?BUY0.87$1.3k
04-29 16:34Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY0.998$49.9k
04-29 16:33US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.997$49.9k
04-29 16:32US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.997$99.7k