100x
0xb48ef6deecd526c0974c35e1f7b5c3bbd12fa144
- Realised P&L
- $152.8k
- Volume
- $11.50M
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $35.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.0kat 0.960Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$44.9kat 0.775No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$27.9kat 0.813Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
- +$24.0kat 0.618Biden wins the Popular Vote?
- +$19.5kat 0.997Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 21:38 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $272.5k |
| 06-01 21:32 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.6k |
| 05-29 02:46 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3883014538 | $4.6k |
| 05-29 02:13 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.339 | $100.37 |
| 05-29 02:12 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3509791878 | $640.33 |
| 05-29 02:10 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.125 | $263.85 |
| 05-06 14:56 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $600.00 |
| 05-06 14:54 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | SELL | 0.900423825 | $18.0k |
| 05-06 00:24 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $335.00 |
| 05-05 23:42 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7676426139 | $105.96 |
| 05-01 19:15 | Chirayu Rana sued? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 05-01 18:36 | Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.3k |
| 04-29 16:34 | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.9k |
| 04-29 16:33 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.9k |
| 04-29 16:32 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.7k |