PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Cookedtan

0xb48b9192dc52eed724fa58c66fa8926d06a3648e

Realised P&L
$91.8k
Volume
$39.82M
Markets traded
5,196
Open portfolio
$398.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,196
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-26 12:25Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.021$5.00
05-26 12:24Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.046$364.85
02-23 22:06Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?SELL0.0064461851$96.14
02-23 22:06Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?SELL0.009$1.26
02-23 21:54Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.007$16.15
02-23 21:54Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.009$20.76
02-23 21:54Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.013$29.99
02-22 21:09Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.38$48.93
02-22 21:09Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.5$45.59
02-22 21:09Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?SELL0.011$3.14
02-14 12:22Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?SELL0.025$30.49
02-12 00:30Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?SELL0.029$4.21
02-07 17:50Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?SELL0.0580631096$14.17
02-07 17:50Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?SELL0.07$27.95
02-07 17:50Will Don Tracy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?SELL0.12$0.69