Cookedtan
0xb48b9192dc52eed724fa58c66fa8926d06a3648e
- Realised P&L
- $88.4k
- Volume
- $38.23M
- Markets traded
- 5,203
- Open portfolio
- $96.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,203
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.2kat 0.655No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
- +$142.3kat 0.862No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
- +$138.5kat 0.425Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$95.0kat 0.905Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$94.0kat 0.636Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 11:43 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.005 | $11.54 |
| 10-05 11:43 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $13.84 |
| 10-05 11:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.84 | $52.77 |
| 10-05 11:40 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.013 | $29.99 |
| 10-05 11:40 | Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.004 | $7.43 |
| 10-05 11:40 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $13.01 |
| 10-05 11:39 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $29.61 |
| 05-26 12:25 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.021 | $5.00 |
| 05-26 12:24 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.046 | $364.85 |
| 02-23 22:06 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | SELL | 0.0064461851 | $96.14 |
| 02-23 22:06 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.26 |
| 02-23 21:54 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $16.15 |
| 02-23 21:54 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.009 | $20.76 |
| 02-23 21:54 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.013 | $29.99 |
| 02-22 21:09 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.38 | $48.93 |