Cookedtan
0xb48b9192dc52eed724fa58c66fa8926d06a3648e
- Realised P&L
- $91.8k
- Volume
- $39.82M
- Markets traded
- 5,196
- Open portfolio
- $398.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,196
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.5kat 0.527Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?
- +$8.5kat 0.500Will Rodrigo Paz win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$6.5kat 0.635Will the price of XRP be between $2.94 and $2.97 on September 10 at 4AM ET?
- +$2.7kat 0.245Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?
- +$2.4kat 0.500Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 12:25 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.021 | $5.00 |
| 05-26 12:24 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.046 | $364.85 |
| 02-23 22:06 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | SELL | 0.0064461851 | $96.14 |
| 02-23 22:06 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.26 |
| 02-23 21:54 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $16.15 |
| 02-23 21:54 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.009 | $20.76 |
| 02-23 21:54 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.013 | $29.99 |
| 02-22 21:09 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.38 | $48.93 |
| 02-22 21:09 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.5 | $45.59 |
| 02-22 21:09 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | SELL | 0.011 | $3.14 |
| 02-14 12:22 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | SELL | 0.025 | $30.49 |
| 02-12 00:30 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | SELL | 0.029 | $4.21 |
| 02-07 17:50 | Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025? | SELL | 0.0580631096 | $14.17 |
| 02-07 17:50 | Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025? | SELL | 0.07 | $27.95 |
| 02-07 17:50 | Will Don Tracy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.69 |