r8j8n
0xb472e91238fe3179ed6b2034d93aa2ca747d6723
- Realised P&L
- $-4.24
- Volume
- $33.43
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $6.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 1.000 | $3.23 | +$1.23 |
| Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.913 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.115 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No | 0.370 | 0.315 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.202 | 0.154 | $0.76 | −$0.24 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.409 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.279 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 14:13 | Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 03:38 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4089998879 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 03:34 | Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.9399996992 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 03:31 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 02:19 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.2789998293 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 02:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 02:06 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 02:04 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 02:02 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2019998408 | $1.00 |