Didntagewell
0xb44f3d77a0566411d6be5c7fb8d5749c52f5043d
- Realised P&L
- $-14.52
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $25.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.006 | $17.67 | −$37.32 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.165 | $7.86 | −$2.14 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 FC Bayern München? · Yes | 0.292 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.24 |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 FC Bayern München? · Yes | 0.317 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.69 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.03at 0.234US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$40.26at 0.096Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$23.12at 0.306Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- +$15.78at 0.042Will France win on 2026-07-18?
- +$15.55at 0.344US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 07:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.59 |
| 08-01 14:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 22:59 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | SELL | 0.07 | $9.72 |
| 07-18 22:48 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0719999938 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 22:26 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.088 | $33.00 |
| 07-18 22:12 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.04 | $15.00 |
| 07-17 10:27 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $19.28 |
| 07-14 20:32 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0492449437 | $15.00 |
| 07-13 20:48 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2748450314 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 08:47 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0109999995 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 00:00 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1436408917 | $20.00 |
| 06-30 10:01 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0253186382 | $15.00 |
| 06-29 21:45 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0648508431 | $20.00 |
| 06-19 21:20 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.20 |
| 06-10 23:03 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |