0xb435b590c9522b74a3194df88d6eacb4d422e04e
0xb435b590c9522b74a3194df88d6eacb4d422e04e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.61
- Volume
- $177.14
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $2.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.510 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.405 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.215 | $0.52 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.24at 0.227Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$3.98at 0.278SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 10?
- +$2.99at 0.339Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.39at 0.389Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.02at 0.430Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 18:28 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:15 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:26 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:15 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:40 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 12:40 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:29 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in September? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:34 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:25 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998872 | $1.49 |
| 09-20 21:24 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999653 | $1.49 |
| 09-19 07:37 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999106 | $1.49 |
| 09-17 21:36 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 18? | BUY | 0.2699999764 | $1.49 |