0xb4336c7916988ce64c9cf98fc09e604822619030
0xb4336c7916988ce64c9cf98fc09e604822619030
- Realised P&L
- $-88.80
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $126.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.68at 0.330Will Arthur Fils Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
- +$0.57at 0.330Will Derrick Henry have 1,249.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- +$0.51at 0.330Will Aaron Rodgers have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- +$0.20at 0.200Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?
- +$0.10at 0.310Will Puka Nacua have 1,124.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 20:53 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.14 |
| 10-18 19:59 | Will Courtland Sutton have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.28 |
| 10-18 18:00 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.55 |
| 10-18 17:05 | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%? | SELL | 0.317 | $4.37 |
| 10-18 15:16 | Will Palo Alto Networks Q1 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $9.75B? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.56 |
| 10-18 15:07 | Will Derrick Henry have 1,249.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 10-18 13:29 | Russell Brand convicted of sex crimes by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.3 | $5.40 |
| 10-18 12:50 | Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.10 |
| 10-18 11:17 | Will Cameron Ward have 12.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.53 |
| 10-18 10:45 | Will Roma qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.38 |
| 10-18 03:08 | Will Florida have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.25 | $4.39 |
| 10-18 03:07 | Will Oklahoma State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.47 |
| 10-17 20:01 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 73% to 75%? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-17 16:45 | Will Alex Bregman win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.11 |
| 10-17 15:21 | Will Cameron Ward have 12.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |