PolyBot

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Traders

0xb4336c7916988ce64c9cf98fc09e604822619030

0xb4336c7916988ce64c9cf98fc09e604822619030

Realised P&L
$-88.80
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
100
Open portfolio
$126.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded100
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Carnell Tate have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.3500.345$6.90−$0.10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? · No0.3300.310$6.20−$0.40
Will RTX (RTX) Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales be above $9B? · No0.3400.295$5.90−$0.90
Will Kenneth Walker III have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.3100.280$5.59−$0.60
Will Sam Darnold have 17.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.3500.265$5.30−$1.70
Will Brock Purdy have 3,549.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.3200.245$4.90−$1.50
Will Brock Bowers have 699.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.2300.230$4.60+$0.00
Will Mauricio Dubón win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? · No0.2880.216$4.33−$1.43
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026? · No0.3300.205$4.10−$2.50
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by December 31, 2026? · No0.3100.200$4.00−$2.20
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? · No0.3000.195$3.90−$2.10
Will Derrick Henry have 1,049.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.2700.190$3.80−$1.60
Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Cloud Revenue be above $29B? · No0.2400.200$3.79−$0.76
Will Quentin Johnston have 249.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.3100.185$3.70−$2.50
Will Utah State have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.3400.245$3.67−$1.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 20:53Will the Pittsburgh Steelers have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?SELL0.12$0.14
10-18 19:59Will Courtland Sutton have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.15$0.28
10-18 18:00Will the Pittsburgh Steelers have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?SELL0.24$0.55
10-18 17:05Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?SELL0.317$4.37
10-18 15:16Will Palo Alto Networks Q1 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $9.75B?SELL0.24$4.56
10-18 15:07Will Derrick Henry have 1,249.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.37$7.40
10-18 13:29Russell Brand convicted of sex crimes by March 31, 2027?SELL0.3$5.40
10-18 12:50Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?SELL0.021$0.10
10-18 11:17Will Cameron Ward have 12.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.25$2.53
10-18 10:45Will Roma qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?SELL0.19$0.38
10-18 03:08Will Florida have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.25$4.39
10-18 03:07Will Oklahoma State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.29$1.47
10-17 20:01NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 73% to 75%?SELL0.24$1.20
10-17 16:45Will Alex Bregman win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?SELL0.11$0.11
10-17 15:21Will Cameron Ward have 12.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.25$5.00