PolyBot

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Traders

Lexma

0xb410255a64fd72acdb7e57b8f65999865a017736

Realised P&L
$30.3k
Volume
$2.07M
Markets traded
4,567
Open portfolio
$10.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,567
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.8190.821$1.8k+$3.37
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9650.961$1.5k$6.61
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9070.983$1.3k+$96.00
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.7040.883$1.1k+$220.47
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9400.656$978.03$422.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? · Yes0.0740.371$541.79+$434.13
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? · Yes0.1430.177$393.00+$76.05
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9520.987$243.01+$8.57
Will Jaume Martinez Vich advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · Yes0.2740.840$192.19+$129.48
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.1910.065$152.74$296.27
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? · Yes0.3540.295$147.60$29.64
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR? · No0.9880.990$130.51+$0.23
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL? · Yes0.0310.159$112.28+$90.22
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR? · Yes0.0310.171$105.60+$86.24
Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No0.7800.740$98.42$5.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:14Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.965$96.50
09-17 15:03Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?BUY0.2837692308$7.38
09-17 05:03Will Kate Fahey / Federico Staksrud advance to the Quarterfinals in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.7$14.00
09-17 05:03Will Chao Yi Wang / Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.27$5.40
09-17 04:56Will Lea Jansen advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.77$30.80
09-17 04:55Will Judit Castillo advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.19$7.60
09-17 04:53Will Kate Fahey advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.82$16.40
09-17 04:53Will Cailyn Campbell advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.08$1.60
09-17 04:51Will Catherine Parenteau advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.51$10.20
09-17 04:51Will Isabella Dunlap advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.33$6.60
09-17 04:46Will Andrei Daescu advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.43$24.09
09-17 04:46Will Jaume Martinez Vich advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.44$24.65
09-16 15:12Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.957$66.99
09-16 12:56Will Will Howells / Pablo Tellez advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.24$4.80
09-16 12:55Will CJ Klinger / Camden Chaffin advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.35$7.00