Lexma
0xb410255a64fd72acdb7e57b8f65999865a017736
- Realised P&L
- $30.3k
- Volume
- $2.07M
- Markets traded
- 4,567
- Open portfolio
- $10.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,567
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.309Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$4.4kat 0.240Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$3.7kat 0.183Will Austria win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.9kat 0.292Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$2.0kat 0.357Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:14 | Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.965 | $96.50 |
| 09-17 15:03 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? | BUY | 0.2837692308 | $7.38 |
| 09-17 05:03 | Will Kate Fahey / Federico Staksrud advance to the Quarterfinals in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 09-17 05:03 | Will Chao Yi Wang / Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 09-17 04:56 | Will Lea Jansen advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.77 | $30.80 |
| 09-17 04:55 | Will Judit Castillo advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.19 | $7.60 |
| 09-17 04:53 | Will Kate Fahey advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 09-17 04:53 | Will Cailyn Campbell advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-17 04:51 | Will Catherine Parenteau advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 09-17 04:51 | Will Isabella Dunlap advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 09-17 04:46 | Will Andrei Daescu advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.43 | $24.09 |
| 09-17 04:46 | Will Jaume Martinez Vich advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.44 | $24.65 |
| 09-16 15:12 | Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.957 | $66.99 |
| 09-16 12:56 | Will Will Howells / Pablo Tellez advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 09-16 12:55 | Will CJ Klinger / Camden Chaffin advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |