MAC0CAU
0xb40d0fbbd669ac9a597e7abe4ec3708fdf290212
- Realised P&L
- $-7.33
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $0.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.00at 0.060Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
- +$25.52at 0.320Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
- +$8.99at 0.690Patriots vs. Broncos
- +$8.95at 0.190Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.60at 0.387Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-05 22:35 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.681 | $17.59 |
| 02-01 01:58 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1112659901 | $4.71 |
| 02-01 01:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $6.09 |
| 02-01 01:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $18.95 |
| 02-01 01:50 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.92 |
| 02-01 01:44 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | SELL | 0.72833536 | $45.52 |
| 02-01 01:43 | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open? | SELL | 0.264 | $44.00 |
| 01-22 21:02 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1179999802 | $5.00 |
| 01-22 20:46 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1352092759 | $5.00 |
| 01-22 19:33 | Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs Marozsan | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 01-22 19:31 | Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 01-22 19:30 | Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 01-21 21:42 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0619999719 | $2.00 |
| 01-21 21:42 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0729999669 | $2.00 |
| 01-21 21:41 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |