PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MAC0CAU

0xb40d0fbbd669ac9a597e7abe4ec3708fdf290212

Realised P&L
$-7.33
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$0.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%? · Yes0.4770.006$0.25−$19.75
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$15.00
Will New England face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$5.00
Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs Marozsan · Medvedev0.7200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4900.000$0.00−$9.80
Rams vs. Seahawks · Rams0.4300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$2.00
Will "Sentimental Value" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.0210.000$0.00−$16.00
Will "The Secret Agent" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.0240.000$0.00−$16.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-05 22:35Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.681$17.59
02-01 01:58Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?SELL0.1112659901$4.71
02-01 01:54Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$6.09
02-01 01:53Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.36$18.95
02-01 01:50Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.995$5.92
02-01 01:44Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?SELL0.72833536$45.52
02-01 01:43Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?SELL0.264$44.00
01-22 21:02Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1179999802$5.00
01-22 20:46Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1352092759$5.00
01-22 19:33Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs MarozsanBUY0.7199999654$5.00
01-22 19:31Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian MarozsanBUY0.8199999836$5.00
01-22 19:30Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian MarozsanBUY0.8199999836$5.00
01-21 21:42Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0619999719$2.00
01-21 21:42Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0729999669$2.00
01-21 21:41Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1$10.00