0xB3EDD3E128f61776B97B8FE071f3095173E9f2bD-1773222262451
0xb3edd3e128f61776b97b8fe071f3095173e9f2bd
- Realised P&L
- $3.60
- Volume
- $770.55
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $29.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.33at 0.150Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
- +$8.39at 0.323Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 12?
- +$7.41at 0.403Will Kanye tweet again by March 31?
- +$6.38at 0.320Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.84at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 16:11 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1169999834 | $6.00 |
| 04-01 04:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.80 |
| 04-01 04:38 | Will Trump say "Egg" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 04-01 04:37 | Will Trump say "Bunny" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday? | BUY | 0.2661289528 | $2.00 |
| 04-01 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 2? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $1.84 |
| 03-30 08:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $1.93 |
| 03-28 20:24 | Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? | BUY | 0.1589709282 | $15.00 |
| 03-27 05:38 | Will Trump dance during National Agriculture Day event? | BUY | 0.3899999558 | $3.00 |
| 03-17 07:35 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.1799999384 | $2.22 |
| 03-17 07:09 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0469999852 | $3.00 |
| 03-16 13:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $4.90 |
| 03-16 09:56 | Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? | BUY | 0.3322984841 | $17.00 |
| 03-16 09:21 | Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $3.00 |
| 03-16 09:20 | Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 03-16 09:18 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.2299999603 | $4.00 |