PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xB3EDD3E128f61776B97B8FE071f3095173E9f2bD-1773222262451

0xb3edd3e128f61776b97b8fe071f3095173e9f2bd

Realised P&L
$3.60
Volume
$770.55
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$29.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? · Yes0.2360.065$13.49−$35.51
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0910.161$7.05+$3.05
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3930.375$4.77−$0.23
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1720.122$1.42−$0.58
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1400.100$1.42−$0.58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1490.029$0.96−$4.04
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$2.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET · Down0.3360.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 2? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Trump say "Bunny" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday? · Yes0.2660.000$0.00−$2.00
Will MrBeast say "Hottest" during his next video? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Trump say "Egg" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$2.00
Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-11 16:11Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1169999834$6.00
04-01 04:47Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETBUY0.32$1.80
04-01 04:38Will Trump say "Egg" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?BUY0.3399999422$2.00
04-01 04:37Will Trump say "Bunny" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?BUY0.2661289528$2.00
04-01 04:36Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 2?BUY0.2099999286$1.84
03-30 08:16Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.3899998908$1.93
03-28 20:24Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?BUY0.1589709282$15.00
03-27 05:38Will Trump dance during National Agriculture Day event?BUY0.3899999558$3.00
03-17 07:35Netanyahu out by June 30?BUY0.1799999384$2.22
03-17 07:09Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0469999852$3.00
03-16 13:29Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.94$4.90
03-16 09:56Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?BUY0.3322984841$17.00
03-16 09:21Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5499999633$3.00
03-16 09:20Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.32$3.00
03-16 09:18Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.2299999603$4.00