PolyBot

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Traders

herp55

0xb3dfd7e84bedc998c3d0e7804392ae029ec55a43

Realised P&L
$-185.74
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$70.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8000.967$36.26+$6.26
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026? · Yes0.3970.465$23.42+$3.42
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.958$11.13+$1.13
Will Debi Tirar Mas Fotos by Bad Bunny be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 7? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$5.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4? · Down0.6000.000$0.00$6.00
Will "The Birds Don't Sing - Clipse, Pusha T & Malice Featuring John Legend & Voices Of Fire" win Best Rap Song at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$20.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$10.00
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026? · No0.6190.000$0.00$20.00
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$4.00
Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? · Yes0.5220.000$0.00$30.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$60.00
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$5.00
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$3.00
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$1.00
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 05:46Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?BUY0.86$10.00
08-09 05:44Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.2199999936$20.00
08-09 05:43Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?BUY0.8$30.00
08-09 05:42Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5299999899$10.00
08-09 05:39Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?BUY0.6489999883$40.00
06-03 21:17MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0029999997$10.00
05-14 07:42Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?SELL0.986$27.34
05-14 07:40Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.8105770387$40.00
05-14 07:37Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?SELL0.1316$6.58
05-14 07:36Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?SELL0.21$15.04
04-30 15:32MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL0.979$93.23
04-30 07:42MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL0.4$23.53
04-30 05:21Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.4187437614$30.00
04-21 11:38Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.4$20.00
04-21 11:35Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.7299999791$7.00