herp55
0xb3dfd7e84bedc998c3d0e7804392ae029ec55a43
- Realised P&L
- $-185.74
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $70.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.62at 0.420Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- +$13.10at 0.840MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$12.50at 0.800Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?
- +$8.97at 0.818Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
- +$8.68at 0.540Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 05:46 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 05:44 | Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999936 | $20.00 |
| 08-09 05:43 | Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $30.00 |
| 08-09 05:42 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 05:39 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.6489999883 | $40.00 |
| 06-03 21:17 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0029999997 | $10.00 |
| 05-14 07:42 | Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $27.34 |
| 05-14 07:40 | Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.8105770387 | $40.00 |
| 05-14 07:37 | Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | SELL | 0.1316 | $6.58 |
| 05-14 07:36 | Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | SELL | 0.21 | $15.04 |
| 04-30 15:32 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.979 | $93.23 |
| 04-30 07:42 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4 | $23.53 |
| 04-30 05:21 | Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.4187437614 | $30.00 |
| 04-21 11:38 | Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 04-21 11:35 | Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.7299999791 | $7.00 |