PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xb3cabAA78B53cc76c73A021Ac6d25c4D51e7be82-1773719233692

0xb3cabaa78b53cc76c73a021ac6d25c4d51e7be82

Realised P&L
$-5.60
Volume
$100.73
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$1.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? · Yes0.9790.978$1.80−$0.00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? · No0.3600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$1.90
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs · Paper Rex0.6500.000$0.00−$1.80
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$3.70
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.5800.000$0.00−$1.60
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? · No0.7900.000$0.00−$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 07:34US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?BUY0.9789999951$1.80
10-09 07:55Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsBUY0.6499999458$1.80
09-21 06:46Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.984$1.70
09-15 07:00Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.8869999591$1.80
09-07 07:46US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?BUY0.9729999907$1.68
08-28 08:57Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-14 03:29Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.9679999196$5.30
08-07 06:11US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUY0.9849999964$1.35
07-30 03:12US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.5799999927$1.60
07-21 03:54Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.9879998695$2.18
07-14 03:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.9729997962$1.70
07-07 08:29Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY0.4$1.90
07-01 02:45GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?BUY0.95$5.33
06-23 03:10Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.9349999861$2.36
06-15 06:34Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?BUY0.7899999122$1.80