0xb3cabAA78B53cc76c73A021Ac6d25c4D51e7be82-1773719233692
0xb3cabaa78b53cc76c73a021ac6d25c4d51e7be82
- Realised P&L
- $-5.60
- Volume
- $100.73
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $1.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? · Yes | 0.979 | 0.978 | $1.80 | −$0.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? · No | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs · Paper Rex | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.70 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? · No | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.70at 0.630US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$2.76at 0.420US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$0.22at 0.891Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
- +$0.16at 0.937Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$0.06at 0.940Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 07:34 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? | BUY | 0.9789999951 | $1.80 |
| 10-09 07:55 | Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.6499999458 | $1.80 |
| 09-21 06:46 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.984 | $1.70 |
| 09-15 07:00 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.8869999591 | $1.80 |
| 09-07 07:46 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | BUY | 0.9729999907 | $1.68 |
| 08-28 08:57 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 08-14 03:29 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9679999196 | $5.30 |
| 08-07 06:11 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9849999964 | $1.35 |
| 07-30 03:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.5799999927 | $1.60 |
| 07-21 03:54 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9879998695 | $2.18 |
| 07-14 03:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.9729997962 | $1.70 |
| 07-07 08:29 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.90 |
| 07-01 02:45 | GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.33 |
| 06-23 03:10 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.9349999861 | $2.36 |
| 06-15 06:34 | Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.7899999122 | $1.80 |