kaiserlik
0xb3bf278410a09e0fb4a9e35c2f888d21b6a28ab9
- Realised P&L
- $0.48
- Volume
- $271.60
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $79.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.64at 0.780Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 11:12 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 08:16 | Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 18:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999895 | $40.00 |
| 09-25 18:26 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 12:36 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:19 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 07:19 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 07:09 | Will the For Stability! (ST!) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:05 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:05 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:04 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 07:04 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 06:51 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 06:51 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 13:26 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |