BaruchGuilty
0xb3be134e850f73e34f4295a71a61d54e51c31015
- Realised P&L
- $-886.31
- Volume
- $73.3k
- Markets traded
- 338
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded338
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$486.13at 0.291Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
- +$420.75at 0.180US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$340.54at 0.370Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?
- +$263.81at 0.429Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$190.07at 0.559Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 16:21 | Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Israel? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 16:20 | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $11.14 |
| 09-22 17:01 | Will Israel win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 17:05 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0810687567 | $11.38 |
| 09-15 11:36 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2796181742 | $29.00 |
| 09-14 09:02 | Exact Score: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC 1 - 0 Hapoel Tel Aviv FC? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 10:08 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5517146104 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 07:01 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 21:01 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 20:59 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? | SELL | 0.999 | $33.30 |
| 09-09 20:47 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3208368966 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 20:41 | Exact Score: SSC Napoli 0 - 2 Arsenal FC? | BUY | 0.4595666379 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 09:28 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 19:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 19:38 | Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-09-07? | SELL | 0.999 | $88.14 |