0xb34828878d44C335593356e932b375f31608b0B9-1767702308482
0xb34828878d44c335593356e932b375f31608b0b9
- Realised P&L
- $-263.83
- Volume
- $26.5k
- Markets traded
- 265
- Open portfolio
- $47.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded265
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.83at 0.470Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$19.03at 0.310Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?
- +$14.67at 0.585Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros
- +$12.79at 0.502Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- +$12.14at 0.452Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 12:41 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.9 | $5.40 |
| 10-18 12:41 | Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.4 | $3.84 |
| 10-18 12:41 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.026 | $1.61 |
| 10-08 06:59 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m? | BUY | 0.9809999989 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 05:42 | Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 05:42 | Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.9299998419 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 05:40 | Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.949999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 05:37 | Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.619999933 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 05:36 | Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 05:36 | Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 00:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.76 |
| 10-07 23:54 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.52 |
| 10-07 20:38 | Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 20:38 | Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8799998733 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 20:38 | Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8899999252 | $5.00 |