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Traders

metal4444

0xb34027131ace92c8dde2bb101b609ff2df19dbb1

Realised P&L
$-19.45
Volume
$9.9k
Markets traded
158
Open portfolio
$1.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded158
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? · Yes0.3500.205$1.02−$0.72
Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.1960.034$0.20−$0.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET · Down0.6000.000$0.00−$3.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 12? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Down0.0730.000$0.00−$2.20
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00−$0.55
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.2500.000$0.00−$1.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00−$2.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.4650.000$0.00−$9.30
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Up0.2320.000$0.00−$1.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00−$0.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET · Up0.4950.000$0.00−$2.44
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 22:35Will Hyperliquid reach $112 in October?BUY0.15$3.90
10-02 22:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.29$1.45
10-02 22:27Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.02$0.80
08-26 23:36Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?BUY0.017$0.60
08-26 23:34Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?SELL0.1$1.00
08-19 22:22Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?BUY0.35$1.75
08-19 22:21Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in August?BUY0.719$4.31
08-03 11:13Will Hyperliquid reach $72 in August?BUY0.09$0.45
08-03 11:04Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.043$1.72
08-03 11:03Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?BUY0.11$1.10
08-03 11:01Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0139999861$1.00
07-26 15:28Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group ABUY0.43$2.15
07-26 14:12Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group ABUY0.66$3.30
07-26 13:42Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.67$8.53
06-21 20:28Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.51$5.10