PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

metal4444

0xb34027131ace92c8dde2bb101b609ff2df19dbb1

Realised P&L
$-15.03
Volume
$9.6k
Markets traded
148
Open portfolio
$0.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded148
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.1960.050$0.30$0.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET · Down0.6000.000$0.00$3.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 12? · Yes0.1490.000$0.00$1.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Down0.0730.000$0.00$2.20
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00$0.55
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.2500.000$0.00$1.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00$2.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.4650.000$0.00$9.30
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00$1.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00$0.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET · Up0.4920.000$0.00$2.43
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$1.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Up0.3820.000$0.00$2.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 15:28Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group ABUY0.43$2.15
07-26 14:12Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group ABUY0.66$3.30
07-26 13:42Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.67$8.53
06-21 20:28Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.51$5.10
06-21 20:26Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.31$1.55
06-21 20:23Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.53$2.65
06-21 20:23Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETSELL0.05$0.50
06-21 20:19Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
06-21 20:18Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.196$1.18
05-29 13:36Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.03$0.75
05-29 13:35Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.29$1.45
04-11 11:54Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.59$2.78
04-11 11:54Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETSELL0.02$0.19
04-11 11:53Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.13$1.14
04-11 11:52Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETSELL0.11$0.99